AUBwins 10,298 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 (edited) Put here for visibility. Currently a tick shy of Cat 5 with with consistent models to central Fla (Currently Tampa, which could be bad with 15+foot storm surge). Here is a link to Reed Timmer stream. Also Mike's weather page is a good source of info. Just looking out for our Florida friends. Unprecedented juice in the gulf this month. Helene showed what a strong major can do inland. East coast of Florida would still get a punch from this. Edited October 7 by AUBwins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUBwins 10,298 Posted October 7 Author Share Posted October 7 Now a CAT5 160mph. First since Michael in 2018. Rapid intensification similar to Wilma 2004/5? Even if the winds slow down a little on approach, the surge will still be there, and that's the worst part. Just can't stop a freight train on a dime. Take heed, Floridians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Win4AU 4,216 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 I’m supposed to be going to Disney World Friday so I’m watching this. It’s suppose to weaken a great deal before landfall but still will cause issues. It’s supposed to be back out to sea pretty quick as well so hopefully flooding won’t be a big issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RunInRed 18,801 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 This could get bad - batten down the hatches if you're in Tampa and the subsequent track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
augolf1716 22,108 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Yeah this one is making me think of leaving Orlando tomorrow. Lived in Fl off and on for over 20 years if we leave it will be the first time we've ever left for a hurricane. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPAC 1,060 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 21 minutes ago, augolf1716 said: Yeah this one is making me think of leaving Orlando tomorrow. Lived in Fl off and on for over 20 years if we leave it will be the first time we've ever left for a hurricane. if leaving, might get a head start today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
augolf1716 22,108 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 26 minutes ago, TigerPAC said: if leaving, might get a head start today. Can't wife is tied up working until late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPAC 1,060 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 47 minutes ago, augolf1716 said: Yeah this one is making me think of leaving Orlando tomorrow. Lived in Fl off and on for over 20 years if we leave it will be the first time we've ever left for a hurricane. i have left coastal AL once for a hurricane and said never again....rather just ride it out. my area would never flood, unless Noah making another appearance. praying for ya, Golf up to 175mph now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank2020 3,441 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 55 minutes ago, augolf1716 said: Yeah this one is making me think of leaving Orlando tomorrow. Lived in Fl off and on for over 20 years if we leave it will be the first time we've ever left for a hurricane. Would be surprised if you get out that late. Keep us posted!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDUBB4AU 5,385 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Evacuate if you can. Everyone has challenges and it’s tough to leave home. This is a giant tornado and it’s angry. My sister lives in Altamont Springs . She’s a nurse at the hospital, so they are going there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUINSY 2,353 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 (edited) www.weather.com front page: Edited October 7 by AUINSY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUBwins 10,298 Posted October 7 Author Share Posted October 7 😢 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUBwins 10,298 Posted October 7 Author Share Posted October 7 2 hours ago, Hank2020 said: Would be surprised if you get out that late. Keep us posted!! I forget which storm, maybe Ike, but they had a mass evacuation and people got caught on road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUBwins 10,298 Posted October 7 Author Share Posted October 7 5 hours ago, Win4AU said: I’m supposed to be going to Disney World Friday so I’m watching this. It’s suppose to weaken a great deal before landfall but still will cause issues. It’s supposed to be back out to sea pretty quick as well so hopefully flooding won’t be a big issue. Going Friday will be after the storm. Going right over Disney so they will likely be closed a few days. I know they don't usually close but they will for this one. Main question will be access to Orlando after this. This is not going to weaken enough to make much difference. It's 30-40 mph stronger than they first anticipated so it's likely high 3 to mid 4 if I guessed at landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank2020 3,441 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 8 minutes ago, AUBwins said: Going Friday will be after the storm. Going right over Disney so they will likely be closed a few days. I know they don't usually close but they will for this one. Main question will be access to Orlando after this. This is not going to weaken enough to make much difference. It's 30-40 mph stronger than they first anticipated so it's likely high 3 to mid 4 if I guessed at landfall I think some people actually held up in Disney I read in the past. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiger Refuge 6,939 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 3 hours ago, augolf1716 said: Yeah this one is making me think of leaving Orlando tomorrow. Lived in Fl off and on for over 20 years if we leave it will be the first time we've ever left for a hurricane. Man, I have a beer fridge. Come on up. Jokes aside, get your hind end out of there. After what I witnessed with Katrina and Rita….I wouldn’t wanna hang around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUINSY 2,353 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 50 minutes ago, Hank2020 said: I think some people actually held up in Disney I read in the past. My brother-in-law and his family that live outside of Orlando did that once a few years ago, in-state season pass holders. They said it was eerie. But was probably for the best for them. They’re still not sure what they’re going to do for this one.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuburnEagle79 2,237 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 7 hours ago, Win4AU said: I’m supposed to be going to Disney World Friday so I’m watching this. It’s suppose to weaken a great deal before landfall but still will cause issues. It’s supposed to be back out to sea pretty quick as well so hopefully flooding won’t be a big issue. Will be the best Disney trip you have. We have annual passes and always try to go right after a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bootskii 268 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 It's predicted to be a CAT 3 when it hits Tampa. I guess if you are looking for a silver lining that would be it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WDEagle 165 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WDEagle 165 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aubcali 478 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 I have family in the direct path on both sides of the state. 😬 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
augolf1716 22,108 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Here it comes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
augolf1716 22,108 Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 We're OK...... lots of flooding and lost of power but overall not bad for central FL. As for Tampa south its not good but I think it could have been a lot worst. Thanks everyone for the thoughts and prayers for FL. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiger Refuge 6,939 Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 1 minute ago, augolf1716 said: We're OK...... lots of flooding and lost of power but overall not bad for central FL. As for Tampa south its not good but I think it could have been a lot worst. Thanks everyone for the thoughts and prayers for FL. Glad y’all made it through okay! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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