Viper 3,583 Posted August 20 Share Posted August 20 11 minutes ago, Gowebb11 said: I remember early in his junior year(4th year in the program) Tubs made a comment about it being time to “take the training wheels off.” I remember thinking what a terrible thing for a coach to say about his 4th year quarterback. Can’t imagine that inspired a lot of confidence in JC. I remember that quote too. I 100% agreed with it. By the start of 2003, long overdue for Campbell to make the leap. 5-star. Coach’s son. Year 4. A brat like Manziel wouldn’t have took it as constructive criticism…he would have took his ball and went home. Campbell was tailor-made for that criticism and obviously flipped the switch his last season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAAubie 522 Posted August 20 Share Posted August 20 3 hours ago, Auburn93 said: But Al Borges took five years. I want something quicker which is why I ask for the Petrino version. How so? What did it take Al 5 years to do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tinman1 509 Posted August 20 Share Posted August 20 1 hour ago, Auburn93 said: I'm saying JLEE needs to give a higher percentage for Deuce Knight. I'm saying JLEE knows he is coming. 90 percent is strong confidence. 60-70 is weak. It is a D. JLee (and other supposed insiders) has been wrong so many times he is hedging his bet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU Is Gold 455 Posted August 20 Share Posted August 20 4 hours ago, ellitor said: @Auburn93 His pick was actually 65%. Apparently AUCB doesn't know how to round properly. Also 60 or 65% confidence is nowhere near a weak pick. It's fairly strong actually. 50% & up is fairly confident. Look at it in 2 steps. 1. I make a pick. 2. How confident am I in that pick? Sounds like you are interpretting 60% confidence as a little more than a toss up pick. That's incorrect. A toss up conmfidence pick would be a pick with 10-20% confidence. Basically make a pick just for the sake of doing it. Hope that clears things up. Why is almost every crystal ball confidence a 6? That's what confuses me. There should be a scaling system where you get more credit for high confidence picks and how early you make the pick. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quietmaninthecorner 2,034 Posted August 20 Share Posted August 20 (edited) 48 minutes ago, AU Is Gold said: There should be a scaling system where you get more credit for high confidence picks and how early you make the pick. maybe you are using the wrong sources! Most accurate/reliable recruiting prediction source ranking... 1. Palm reading 2. Tarot cards 3. 16 sided die roll 4 CRYSTAL BALLS 5. THE LEAN 6 Magic 8-ball 7 Wild ass guess 8. the chicken poop game 9. Forearm Tattoo 10 the percentage sign % 11 Fortune cookie 12 Lil' Mook 13 insider information 14 Caleb Williams' Dentist 15 Astrology signs 16 'cruitin finger 17 a school calling "dibs" 18 Calling Miss Cleo's psychic hotline 19 The Groundhog 20 Eeny, meeny, miny, moe 21 Check Yes or No note passed in a 6th grade class. 22 My cousin's wife's friend does Pilates with the recruit's mother 23 On3 predictions 24 Zoltar fortune teller machine 25 Rock, paper, scissors. (lizard, Spock) 26 Water cooler talk from an in-the-know coworker 27 He loves me, he loves me not - flower pedal plucking prediction 28 Airplane tracking 29 spin the bottle 30 Information from the internet 31 Uncle Rico's drunken birthday proclamations 32 podcasts 33 Throwing darts at a list 34 Coach dancing at grandpa’s birthday party 35 George Santos 36 I have a really good feeling about this / Trust me Bro. 37 (for you older readers) the game "Red Rover." 38 unnamed source 39 The recruit is a legacy 40 ChatGPT 41 information from the Chinese Spy Balloons . 67 other recruiting websites/ forums 68 confidence ratings . 98 your local weatherman 99 Me Edited August 20 by Quietmaninthecorner 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gctiger 1,007 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 (edited) 3 hours ago, Auburn93 said: I'm saying JLEE needs to give a higher percentage for Deuce Knight. I'm saying JLEE knows he is coming. 90 percent is strong confidence. 60-70 is weak. It is a D. As Ellitor said, that’s not the way it’s works. I don’t understand the logic myself, but I accept it because that’s the way it works. Edited August 21 by gctiger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 4 hours ago, Auburn93 said: 60-70 is weak. It is a D. @Auburn93 Based on JLee's confidence scale 60-70 is not weak at all. For example, when he makes a pick with 70% confidence he has said many times that means a recruit is a silent commit to AU. So 65% is in essence saying Deuce is all but a silent to AU. Based on JLee's scale that's a damn strong pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 3 hours ago, tinman1 said: he is hedging his bet. Nope. Some just don't understand his picking & percentage scales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 3 hours ago, AU Is Gold said: There should be a scaling system where you get more credit for high confidence picks and how early you make the pick. 247 does that. I don't believe On3 does. JLee works for On3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TAYLORKEETON 888 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 malik autry posted the batman...we know what that means 😉 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 58 minutes ago, TAYLORKEETON said: malik autry posted the batman...we know what that means 😉 @TAYLORKEETON that’s likely for someone else. Everyone knows where he’s trending. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TAYLORKEETON 888 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 3 hours ago, ellitor said: @TAYLORKEETON that’s likely for someone else. Everyone knows where he’s trending. who you think it was for then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 38 minutes ago, TAYLORKEETON said: who you think it was for then? @TAYLORKEETON 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUght2win 7,155 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 Where is Deuce ranked a 5 star? Literally every service has him at 4 unless I’m missing something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUpreacherman22 3,945 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 9 minutes ago, AUght2win said: Where is Deuce ranked a 5 star? Literally every service has him at 4 unless I’m missing something Composite. The only one that really matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAG 35,375 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 I am amazed at what this staff is doing. That would make up for us missing on RW. SMH. That still hurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWALA Tiger 3,753 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 2 hours ago, AUght2win said: Where is Deuce ranked a 5 star? Literally every service has him at 4 unless I’m missing something I wondered the same thing. He is a 4 star across the board but a composite 5 star. Makes no sense to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 46 minutes ago, DAG said: That would make up for us missing on RW. @DAG We could. I just got him as a Freshman transfer on CFB 25 to complete the Freeze 5. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bro Johnny Mac 1,479 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 On 8/20/2024 at 4:40 PM, Viper said: I remember that quote too. I 100% agreed with it. By the start of 2003, long overdue for Campbell to make the leap. 5-star. Coach’s son. Year 4. A brat like Manziel wouldn’t have took it as constructive criticism…he would have took his ball and went home. Campbell was tailor-made for that criticism and obviously flipped the switch his last season. Campbell is easily one of my top five Auburn players.. He was all class and showed tremendous fortitude when everyone was calling him a bust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ellitor 34,051 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 50 minutes ago, NWALA Tiger said: I wondered the same thing. He is a 4 star across the board but a composite 5 star. Makes no sense to me @AUght2win @NWALA Tiger Not sure about making sense but I can tell you the 247 Composite logic. The composite is the rank order average of all 4 sites. As y'all already know the composite doesn't factor stars at all from any of the sites. Regardless of stars, the 32 highest ranked players in terms of average rank order are consodered composite 5*s. 32 is the number because that's the # of 1st round picks in the NFL Draft. DK is the 29th highest rated player in terms of rank order & thus a composite 5* without being a 5^ on any 1 site. FWIW if he maintains his ranking of 28 overall on On3 he will be a 5* on that site because they expand to 32 5*s near the end of the recruiting cycle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUght2win 7,155 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 4 hours ago, AUpreacherman22 said: Composite. The only one that really matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quietmaninthecorner 2,034 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 15 minutes ago, AUght2win said: He will have so much more talent when he gets that 5th star. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU Is Gold 455 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 50 minutes ago, AUght2win said: I believe he's talking about 247 composite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU Is Gold 455 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 2 hours ago, ellitor said: @AUght2win @NWALA Tiger Not sure about making sense but I can tell you the 247 Composite logic. The composite is the rank order average of all 4 sites. As y'all already know the composite doesn't factor stars at all from any of the sites. Regardless of stars, the 32 highest ranked players in terms of average rank order are consodered composite 5*s. 32 is the number because that's the # of 1st round picks in the NFL Draft. DK is the 29th highest rated player in terms of rank order & thus a composite 5* without being a 5^ on any 1 site. FWIW if he maintains his ranking of 28 overall on On3 he will be a 5* on that site because they expand to 32 5*s near the end of the recruiting cycle. Why are there usually more than 32 5 stars every year? I thought it was based on a rating threshold. Like 0.9832 rating and below aren't 5 stars. Am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dual-Threat Rigby 9,219 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 I think we’re burying that myth that Auburn fans don’t care about stars pretty quickly here… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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