2/9/23 Auburn Articles

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Alabama at Auburn odds, tips and betting trends

DataSkrive

~4 minutes

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (21-3, 11-0 SEC) will try to extend a three-game winning streak when they visit the Auburn Tigers (17-7, 7-4 SEC) on Saturday, February 11, 2023 at Neville Arena. The game airs at 2:00 PM ET on ESPN. Below, we analyze the Auburn vs. Alabama odds and lines ahead of this contest.

No line is set yet for the Tigers vs. the Crimson Tide game.

Auburn is 12-12-0 against the spread, while Alabama’s ATS record this season is 15-9-0. The Tigers have hit the over in 15 games, while Crimson Tide games have gone over 11 times. Auburn is 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its past 10 games, while Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

Before watching this matchup, here’s what you need to know about Saturday’s college hoops action.

Auburn vs. Alabama prediction

Alabama 75, Auburn 70

Against the spread

• Auburn has compiled a 12-12-0 record against the spread this season.
• Alabama is 15-9-0 ATS this year.
• The Tigers put up 72.3 points per game, just 3.6 more points than the 68.7 the Crimson Tide give up.
• Auburn is 10-6 against the spread and 12-4 overall when scoring more than 68.7 points.
• When Alabama allows fewer than 72.3 points, it is 14-5 against the spread and 19-0 overall.
• The Crimson Tide average 19.1 more points per game (83.7) than the Tigers give up (64.6).
• Alabama is 15-9 against the spread and 21-3 overall when it scores more than 64.6 points.
• Auburn’s record is 12-12 against the spread and 17-7 overall when it allows fewer than 83.7 points.

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What the SEC tournament would look like if season ended today

Nathan King

4–5 minutes

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Against the nation's toughest remaining schedule outside of the Big 12, Auburn is now in a rut, having lost four of its last five games. And next on the docket is the class of the conference.

Alabama comes to town Saturday, with College GameDay kicking off the festivities in what should be an intense clash on the Plains. The Crimson Tide's latest victim Wednesday night was Florida, which the Crimson Tide waxed 97-69 en route to an 11-0 start in SEC play. Nate Oats' team has a firm grip on first place in the SEC, and if it stays on its current trajectory, Auburn and Alabama will have accounted for four of the past seven SEC regular-season titles.

Suffice to say Auburn could be staring a three-game SEC losing streak in the face, after a five-game winning streak last month helped buoy the Tigers in the upper rung of the conference. A win, of course, would be a signature notch in Auburn's NCAA tournament resume for a team that's still expected to go dancing, but has missed on its last few opportunities to grab quality wins.

No one will fault Auburn for dropping a game Saturday to a historic Alabama team, but even heading into next week, the margin for error is razor thin. Auburn hosts a Missouri team with its own tournament aspirations next Tuesday, then has to travel to Vanderbilt next Saturday — and the Commodores just snapped an 11-game losing streak to Tennessee on Wednesday.

Depending on what happens down the stretch this season, this year's SEC tournament — which returns to Nashville after a pitstop in Tampa last season — could provide Auburn an opportunity for more important wins, as opposed to previous seasons, where the Tigers' resume was already strong enough that the conference tournament results had little bearing.

Since the 2020 postseason was canceled — when Auburn was set to be the No. 2 seed in the SEC — the Tigers self-imposed a ban on the 2021 postseason, and Bruce Pearl's team made an immediate exit as the top seed last year in Tampa, Auburn still hasn't won an SEC tournament game since it beat Tennessee in the championship in 2019, before the program's first-ever run to the Final Four.

The first round is set to tip off March 8 at Bridgestone Arena.

With seven regular-season games remaining, here's how that SEC bracket would look if the five-day tournament began today.

Wednesday, March 8 (first round)

Game 1: No. 12 Ole Miss vs. No. 13 South Carolina

Game 2: No. 11 Mississippi State vs. No. 14 LSU

Thursday, March 9 (second round)

Game 3: No. 8 Arkansas vs. No. 9 Vanderbilt

Game 4: No. 5 Auburn vs. Game 1 winner

Game 5: No. 7 Missouri vs. No. 10 Georgia

Game 6: No. 6 Florida vs. Game 2 winner

Friday, March 10 (quarterfinals)

Game 7: No. 1 Alabama vs. Game 3 winner

Game 8: No. 4 Kentucky vs. Game 4 winner

Game 9: No. 2 Texas A&M vs. Game 5 winner

Game 10: No. 3 Tennessee vs. Game 6 winner

Saturday, March 11 (semifinals)

Game 11: Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner

Game 12: Game 9 winner vs. Game 10 winner

Sunday, March 12 (championship)

Game 11 winner vs. Game 12 winner

Projected end-of-season SEC standings (ESPN BPI)

1. Alabama (16-2)

2. Tennessee (15-3)

3. Texas A&M (13-5)

4. Kentucky (11-7)

5. Auburn (11-7)

6. Florida (11-7)

7. Arkansas (10-8)

8. Missouri (9-9)

9. Mississippi State (8-10)

10. Georgia (7-11)

11. Vanderbilt (6-12)

12. Ole Miss (5-13)

13. LSU (4-14)

14. South Carolina (2-16)

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