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Things get interesting in week three


aubiefifty

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auburnwire.usatoday.com
 

Auburn football schedule analysis: Grading the Penn State Nittany Lions

Lance Dawe
4-5 minutes

This is the third article in a series grading Auburn’s opponents by position groups.

Things get interesting for Auburn in week three.

After opening the season with back-to-back cupcake games in Akron and Alabama State, the Tigers must go on the road up north to Happy Valley, home of the Penn State Nittany Lions.

Auburn and Penn State have only faced off twice before, with the most recent game being a close 13-9 win for Auburn in the 2003 Capital One Bowl.

Both teams enter 2021 in somewhat of a rebuilding stage. Auburn, of course, breaking in a new head coach along with multiple staff changes. Penn State, on the other hand, is trying to bounce back from an embarrassing year in the Big 10, which can be attributed to both coaching and player mistakes.

Let’s grade the Nittany Lions by position group to see how they stack up.

USATSI_15436482.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Sean Clifford has been consistent for Penn State over the course of two full seasons as the starter, but he’s not gotten over the hump. Clifford has thrown for 4,732 yards and 41 touchdowns in his three years with the program.

Clifford is 1-3 when throwing for over 300 yards and 3-3 VS Top 25 teams. His best win against a Top 25 team came against Michigan in 2019 where he completed 56% of his passes for 182 yards. He has not been the answer in Penn State’s biggest moments. When they rely on him too much, he has proven to be unreliable and turnover-prone.

USATSI_13844165.jpg

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Noah Cain, the projected 2021 starter, was injured in Penn State’s opening game against Indiana. He was second on the team in rushing with 443 yards as a freshman in 2019. Freshman Keyvone Lee shouldered the load for the running back room in 2020, finishing with 438 yards on 89 carries over the course of eight games. No running back on Penn State’s roster averaged over 4.9 yards per carry last season.

USATSI_15306569.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

The receiving core is the strength of this offense. Jahan Dotson led the team with 884 receiving yards and eight touchdowns last season. Parker Washington (36 receptions, 489 yards, six TDs) and KeAndre Lambert-Smith (17 receptions, 164 yards, two TDs) are solid depth options behind Dotson as well as emerging tight ends in Brenton Strange and Theo Johnson.

USATSI_13483178.jpg

John Jones-USA TODAY Sports

Three starters return from a unit that was 39th best in the country in 2020 according to PFF. They allowed 28 sacks in nine games for the Nittany Lions. That averages out to 3.11 sacks per game, which was 109th in the country. It’s a mark that’s going to have to go way down in 2021. 

USATSI_15199715.jpg

Bruce Thorson-USA TODAY Sports

One starter returns from a unit that earned 21 sacks in nine games last year. The line only gave up 130.2 rushing yards per game, but lacks experience heading into this season.

USATSI_15337713.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn State’s top 2 tacklers from last season were from their linebacker core. They both return this season and should bolster a defense that was stout when it came to total yards allowed per game (328.8 yards, 17th nationally)

USATSI_15172672.jpg

Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Three starters return from a unit that only mustered three interceptions in nine games, (four total if you include one from linebacker Brandon Smith). However, Penn State’s back end only gave up 198.6 pass yards per game. Something else worth noting is that  Penn State was 108th in the country in starting field position. Opposing offenses on average started at the 33-yard line. They didn’t give up a lot of yards, but they were already working with a shorter field on average because of Penn State’s turnover problem last season (-7 TO margin, 10 fumbles). Evidence of this was allowing 27.7 ppg (55th nationally), while only allowing 328.8 total yards per game (17th nationally).

USATSI_15343668.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn State’s lack of offensive efficiency and explosiveness led to a lot of dead drives ending in the red zone. Penn State’s 18 field goal attempts were the second-most in the Big 10. They only made 11 of them, second-worst in the Big 10. Penn State averaged 41.6 yards per punt.

The return game was electric. Penn State was one of only four FBS teams with two punt returns of 50 yards or more.

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This analysis seems to indicate our trip to HV is a very winnable game!   Offense not great with TO problems, D gave up more points than I thought.  
We have way too many unknowns to put a high percentage on much of anything, but as of now (and a lot will take place between now and then), I believe we can go up there and give them a heck of a game and maybe even leave PA with a W!

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1 hour ago, AUpreacherman22 said:

This analysis seems to indicate our trip to HV is a very winnable game!   Offense not great with TO problems, D gave up more points than I thought.  
We have way too many unknowns to put a high percentage on much of anything, but as of now (and a lot will take place between now and then), I believe we can go up there and give them a heck of a game and maybe even leave PA with a W!

They were pretty bad last year.  It would be a huge momentum builder for Harsin and us

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  • WarTiger changed the title to Things get interesting in week three
52 minutes ago, W.E.D said:

They were pretty bad last year.  It would be a huge momentum builder for Harsin and us

How they started was not how they ended, last year. Schedule looks like it was easier last half of year though.

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8 hours ago, aubiefifty said:
auburnwire.usatoday.com
 

Auburn football schedule analysis: Grading the Penn State Nittany Lions

Lance Dawe
4-5 minutes

This is the third article in a series grading Auburn’s opponents by position groups.

Things get interesting for Auburn in week three.

After opening the season with back-to-back cupcake games in Akron and Alabama State, the Tigers must go on the road up north to Happy Valley, home of the Penn State Nittany Lions.

Auburn and Penn State have only faced off twice before, with the most recent game being a close 13-9 win for Auburn in the 2003 Capital One Bowl.

Both teams enter 2021 in somewhat of a rebuilding stage. Auburn, of course, breaking in a new head coach along with multiple staff changes. Penn State, on the other hand, is trying to bounce back from an embarrassing year in the Big 10, which can be attributed to both coaching and player mistakes.

Let’s grade the Nittany Lions by position group to see how they stack up.

USATSI_15436482.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Sean Clifford has been consistent for Penn State over the course of two full seasons as the starter, but he’s not gotten over the hump. Clifford has thrown for 4,732 yards and 41 touchdowns in his three years with the program.

Clifford is 1-3 when throwing for over 300 yards and 3-3 VS Top 25 teams. His best win against a Top 25 team came against Michigan in 2019 where he completed 56% of his passes for 182 yards. He has not been the answer in Penn State’s biggest moments. When they rely on him too much, he has proven to be unreliable and turnover-prone.

USATSI_13844165.jpg

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Noah Cain, the projected 2021 starter, was injured in Penn State’s opening game against Indiana. He was second on the team in rushing with 443 yards as a freshman in 2019. Freshman Keyvone Lee shouldered the load for the running back room in 2020, finishing with 438 yards on 89 carries over the course of eight games. No running back on Penn State’s roster averaged over 4.9 yards per carry last season.

USATSI_15306569.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

The receiving core is the strength of this offense. Jahan Dotson led the team with 884 receiving yards and eight touchdowns last season. Parker Washington (36 receptions, 489 yards, six TDs) and KeAndre Lambert-Smith (17 receptions, 164 yards, two TDs) are solid depth options behind Dotson as well as emerging tight ends in Brenton Strange and Theo Johnson.

USATSI_13483178.jpg

John Jones-USA TODAY Sports

Three starters return from a unit that was 39th best in the country in 2020 according to PFF. They allowed 28 sacks in nine games for the Nittany Lions. That averages out to 3.11 sacks per game, which was 109th in the country. It’s a mark that’s going to have to go way down in 2021. 

USATSI_15199715.jpg

Bruce Thorson-USA TODAY Sports

One starter returns from a unit that earned 21 sacks in nine games last year. The line only gave up 130.2 rushing yards per game, but lacks experience heading into this season.

USATSI_15337713.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn State’s top 2 tacklers from last season were from their linebacker core. They both return this season and should bolster a defense that was stout when it came to total yards allowed per game (328.8 yards, 17th nationally)

USATSI_15172672.jpg

Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Three starters return from a unit that only mustered three interceptions in nine games, (four total if you include one from linebacker Brandon Smith). However, Penn State’s back end only gave up 198.6 pass yards per game. Something else worth noting is that  Penn State was 108th in the country in starting field position. Opposing offenses on average started at the 33-yard line. They didn’t give up a lot of yards, but they were already working with a shorter field on average because of Penn State’s turnover problem last season (-7 TO margin, 10 fumbles). Evidence of this was allowing 27.7 ppg (55th nationally), while only allowing 328.8 total yards per game (17th nationally).

USATSI_15343668.jpg

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn State’s lack of offensive efficiency and explosiveness led to a lot of dead drives ending in the red zone. Penn State’s 18 field goal attempts were the second-most in the Big 10. They only made 11 of them, second-worst in the Big 10. Penn State averaged 41.6 yards per punt.

The return game was electric. Penn State was one of only four FBS teams with two punt returns of 50 yards or more.

You really should use the “post as plain text button before posting. Your pictures are unreadable like this anyway. Thanks for your posting though.

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